January 10, 2009

NFL playoff picks

I had a good year picking football games this year, straight up or against the spread. I finished first overall in the Ace moron pool (spread) and first in another league (straight up). Unfortunately, I finished second in a third league which used confidence points. In any event, some years are better than others for me picking NFL games. This year was pretty good to me.

No money was won, of course. This was strictly for ::cough-cough:: fun.

In any event, I'll recap my picks from last week and then do a little prognostication for this week's contests. On we go.

Last week: I don't have the point spreads, so I'll go with the head-to-head.

Arizona over Atlanta. At home with a hot Warner and those receivers against an inexperienced, albeit talented team? Go Cardinals! And they did.

Miami over Baltimore. More of heart over head pick and it showed. Loser.

San Diego over Indy. A talented team who has managed to beat another team consistently in recent years against a team that consistently flames out in the first round. The ultimate Duh! pick.

Philadelphia over Minnesota. Have you seen the Viking QB?

Anyway, 3-1 last week. Now for this week's picks:

Titans favored by 3 over the Ravens. Flacco finally looks like a rookie. Titans to win and cover.

Carolina by 10 over Arizona. I think that it's going to be a close contest, but Carolina will eventually wear down the Cardinals. Carolina to win, but not cover.

Giants by 4 over the Eagles. This one is peculiar. Both road teams won this year and both are playing well now. However, I think that NY is just too good. Giants to win and cover.

Pittsburgh by 6 over SD. I know that LT is out, but Rivers has been just about the best QB in the league this year. Also, Pittsburgh can be run on, if you stick with it. Not sure if Sproles is the answer to that question. Anyway, Pittsburgh to win, but not to cover. And it wouldn't surprise me if San Diego won straight up. However, I'm not putting my money that way.

There you have it. And if you're foolish enough to bet money using my picks, you deserve what you get.

Posted by Physics Geek at January 10, 2009 10:00 AM | TrackBack StumbleUpon Toolbar Stumble It!
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